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February 19th

Recent polls suggest that our Governor Jon Corzine is in trouble. Now, I’m a supporter of Chris Christie, but even I think he will need a perfect storm to win this election.

Why can’t Republicans win in New Jersey. Simple, it’s my dad.

My dad works for the state. His job is tied to the New Jersey state budget. Unfortunately, because he works in one of the state universities, they are almost always the first place politicians look for when they want to cut the budget. Needless to say, we don’t see eye to eye when it comes to fiscal policy.

What does this have to do with statewide politics? From 2000 to 2007, 93% of all jobs produced in New Jersey were in state government.

By driving private business out of the state with a hostile tax policy and replacing them with workers tied to the state, it gives democrats a rapidly growing block of voters in the middle class. Combine that with traditional support from the poor and minorities, Christie and other Republicans are going to have a hell of a time winning statewide.

Still, the polls are encouraging. A couple things will need to happen. Christie will have to convince voters the connection between the state’s massive deficit and the state’s high tax burden. Also, avoid social issues like the plague. They are important, but they are not winning issues. Christie’s biggest strength is his reputation as a corruption fighter. Unfortunately, Jersey voters are quite tolerant of corruption during these last few elections. Still, by focusing on our most looming issue, the budget deficit, I think Christie has a fighting chance.

And if he can convince my dad to vote for him, then he’ll win.

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